More bicycling means safer streets

Robert Steuteville, New Urban Network

In July we published an article on a surprising trend in New York City — as bicycle use skyrockets, bicycle accidents are dropping. When many bicyclists are on the road, cycling safety improves substantially. This observation is consistent with data from other countries. Cycling is far safer in countries where bicycles are used more often — such as the Netherlands, Germany, and Denmark (see graph at bottom right).

Now comes data from Portland, Oregon, that suggests encouraging bicycle use leads to greater traffic safety in general. Check out the attached graphs. The one at top right shows the trend in bicycle use versus crashes in Portland. The bicycle use is counted across four major bridges connecting to downtown (these increases have also been documented in other parts of the city). Bicycle trips have more than tripled since 1991.

Bicycle crashes citywide have risen little since 1991 — despite the dramatic increase in cycling. There was a noticable rise in reported crashes in 2008 and 2009, but that was mostly due to changes in policy that have required even minor bicycle accidents to be recorded.

The cycling increase has largely resulted from Portland’s aggressive policy to increase bicycle use. The city has installed 300 miles of bicycle trails, lanes, boulevards (bicycle-friendly streets), and other facilities in that time period. This 300-mile network cost approximately the same as the construction of a mile of urban freeway, according to Mia Birk, a planning consultant and the former director of Portland’s bicycle program.

Now comes the payoff. Portland’s overall crash mortality rate for all traffic accidents plunged during this period (see "Portland traffic fatalities" graph). Compare that graph to the US overall crash mortality figures (immediately below the graph on Portland traffic fatalities), and you see how well the city performs.

Of course, this can’t all be attributed to Portland’s bicycle policies. The city and the Metro area have invested heavily in mass transit, encouraged transit-oriented development, limited the availability of parking downtown, and have taken other measures that have likely reduced automobile use. But the bicycle program has been unusual and significant. It has slowed down traffic on many streets and generally taken asphalt away from the exclusive use of fast-moving cars. When drivers are aware of many bicyclists on the road, they drive with more care. That tendency benefits everyone on the road.

Comments

thanks for covering this subject

Hi Robert:

Thanks a million for covering this subject.

I've been advocating for some time that we look at these trends across all modes, rather than solely for bicycle riders. You can see more of my research in this presentation I first delivered at VeloCity 2009 in Brussels and most recently delivered to the Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta: ftp://ftp02.portlandoregon.gov/PBOT/Raisman/presentations/CDC.pdf

Actually, my observation is the the most significant improvements in safety from multi-modal transporation systems are people in 4-wheel (or greater) motor vehicles. I agree that speed reduction is a major contributor to this. In addition, I think that the very dynamic travel environment it creates results in more caution and awareness as people travel. It leverages the survivability factors (like air bags) by increasing the amount of prevention measures that focus on injury reduction rather than property damage reduction.

After a few years of advocacy on the issue, I'm excited that some peer reviewed research on the subject is accepted and awaiting publication. Norman Garrick (UCONN) and Wesley Marshall (U Colorado) will have a study published in the Journal of Environmental Planning that compares traffic safety trends across 25 similarly sized cities in California. The result in the data is that the cities with more diverse mode splits demonstrate safer travel for everyone. (The current study title is: Evidence on Why Bike-Friendly Cities are Safer for all Road Users)

If you would like to explore this issue further, I'd be happy to be a resource.

Thanks.

Greg Raisman

Community and School Traffic Safety Partnership

Portland Bureau of Transportation

 

Relationship to VMT

It should be noted that this safety trend is not explainable on the basis of fewer miles of driving.  The FHWA reports of Daily Vehicle-Miles-of-Travel shows an overall upward trend for the Portland Region since 2000. Conceivably Portland is seeing a decline or flat curve while the surrounding area is still seeing increases, but the declines in crashes far exceed any imaginable decline in VMT.  

View data extracts from FHWA Highway Statistics here:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AuJKobEGkTxydFBsODZ4YzZpbDJRMTA2OVpVc05hX2c&hl=en&output=html